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Luck

Max/Jake's 24–3 all-play record is 2026's best so farⓘ

Luck = 2026 wins − expected wins (xW), so far.

Owner · 2026LuckW–LxWAll-playRobbedGifted
Howie+0.82–11.211–16 .40700
Max/Jake+0.33–02.724–3 .88900
Danny+0.21–20.87–20 .25900
Ben±0.01–21.09–18 .33300
Greg/Andrew±0.02–12.018–9 .66710
Andy±0.02–12.018–9 .66700
Grove−0.12–12.119–8 .70400
Mike−0.20–30.22–25 .07400
Noah−0.41–21.413–14 .48110
Jordan−0.61–21.614–13 .51910

Through week 3: Grove is 2nd; 1st in 32% of possible schedulesⓘ

% of possible schedules finishing in each place. vs exp. = expected − actual.

Early weeks: places mostly follow points scored.

1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10thvs exp.Max/JakeMax/Jake: 1st in 51% of possible schedules (the real place now)51Max/Jake: 2nd in 30% of possible schedules30Max/Jake: 3rd in 16% of possible schedules16Max/Jake: 4th in 3% of possible schedules3Max/Jake: 5th in <1% of possible schedules<1Max/Jake: 6th in 0% of possible schedulesMax/Jake: 7th in 0% of possible schedulesMax/Jake: 8th in 0% of possible schedulesMax/Jake: 9th in 0% of possible schedulesMax/Jake: 10th in 0% of possible schedules+0.7GroveGrove: 1st in 32% of possible schedules32Grove: 2nd in 32% of possible schedules (the real place now)32Grove: 3rd in 20% of possible schedules20Grove: 4th in 2% of possible schedules2Grove: 5th in 3% of possible schedules3Grove: 6th in 8% of possible schedules8Grove: 7th in 3% of possible schedules3Grove: 8th in <1% of possible schedules<1Grove: 9th in 0% of possible schedulesGrove: 10th in 0% of possible schedules+0.5AndyAndy: 1st in 7% of possible schedules7Andy: 2nd in 17% of possible schedules17Andy: 3rd in 39% of possible schedules (the real place now)39Andy: 4th in 17% of possible schedules17Andy: 5th in 5% of possible schedules5Andy: 6th in 10% of possible schedules10Andy: 7th in 4% of possible schedules4Andy: 8th in 1% of possible schedules1Andy: 9th in 1% of possible schedules1Andy: 10th in <1% of possible schedules<1+0.5Greg/AndrewGreg/Andrew: 1st in 7% of possible schedules7Greg/Andrew: 2nd in 14% of possible schedules14Greg/Andrew: 3rd in 18% of possible schedules18Greg/Andrew: 4th in 35% of possible schedules (the real place now)35Greg/Andrew: 5th in 7% of possible schedules7Greg/Andrew: 6th in 11% of possible schedules11Greg/Andrew: 7th in 7% of possible schedules7Greg/Andrew: 8th in 1% of possible schedules1Greg/Andrew: 9th in 1% of possible schedules1Greg/Andrew: 10th in <1% of possible schedules<1−0.1JordanJordan: 1st in 0% of possible schedulesJordan: 2nd in <1% of possible schedules<1Jordan: 3rd in 4% of possible schedules4Jordan: 4th in 26% of possible schedules26Jordan: 5th in 31% of possible schedules31Jordan: 6th in 21% of possible schedules (the real place now)21Jordan: 7th in 13% of possible schedules13Jordan: 8th in 3% of possible schedules3Jordan: 9th in 2% of possible schedules2Jordan: 10th in <1% of possible schedules<1−0.7NoahNoah: 1st in 1% of possible schedules1Noah: 2nd in 2% of possible schedules2Noah: 3rd in 2% of possible schedules2Noah: 4th in 10% of possible schedules10Noah: 5th in 25% of possible schedules25Noah: 6th in 24% of possible schedules24Noah: 7th in 23% of possible schedules (the real place now)23Noah: 8th in 7% of possible schedules7Noah: 9th in 5% of possible schedules5Noah: 10th in 1% of possible schedules1−1.1HowieHowie: 1st in 2% of possible schedules2Howie: 2nd in 4% of possible schedules4Howie: 3rd in 1% of possible schedules1Howie: 4th in 4% of possible schedules4Howie: 5th in 15% of possible schedules (the real place now)15Howie: 6th in 12% of possible schedules12Howie: 7th in 30% of possible schedules30Howie: 8th in 17% of possible schedules17Howie: 9th in 13% of possible schedules13Howie: 10th in 3% of possible schedules3+1.7BenBen: 1st in 1% of possible schedules1Ben: 2nd in 1% of possible schedules1Ben: 3rd in <1% of possible schedules<1Ben: 4th in 1% of possible schedules1Ben: 5th in 9% of possible schedules9Ben: 6th in 10% of possible schedules10Ben: 7th in 6% of possible schedules6Ben: 8th in 26% of possible schedules26Ben: 9th in 39% of possible schedules (the real place now)39Ben: 10th in 8% of possible schedules8−1.2DannyDanny: 1st in <1% of possible schedules<1Danny: 2nd in <1% of possible schedules<1Danny: 3rd in <1% of possible schedules<1Danny: 4th in 1% of possible schedules1Danny: 5th in 5% of possible schedules5Danny: 6th in 5% of possible schedules5Danny: 7th in 13% of possible schedules13Danny: 8th in 39% of possible schedules (the real place now)39Danny: 9th in 29% of possible schedules29Danny: 10th in 7% of possible schedules7−0.1MikeMike: 1st in 0% of possible schedulesMike: 2nd in 0% of possible schedulesMike: 3rd in 0% of possible schedulesMike: 4th in 0% of possible schedulesMike: 5th in 0% of possible schedulesMike: 6th in 0% of possible schedulesMike: 7th in 1% of possible schedules1Mike: 8th in 7% of possible schedules7Mike: 9th in 11% of possible schedules11Mike: 10th in 81% of possible schedules (the real place now)81−0.3
League matchup archive · weeks 1–3 of every ordered round robin, sampled

Howie was 2026's luckiest team: +0.8 wins over expectedⓘ

Actual wins against expected wins (from points scored); above the line is lucky.

00.511.522.53Expected wins00.511.522.53Actual winsHowieMax/Jake
Owners 10
OwnersManagers · 10/10 shown
League matchup archive · actual and expected wins

Ben would have won 2 more in 2026 with Howie's scheduleⓘ

Each row's record under every column's schedule; green is an easier ride, brick a harder one.

AndyBenDannyGreg/AndrewGroveHowieJordanMax/JakeMikeNoahAndyBenDannyGreg/AndrewGroveHowieJordanMax/JakeMikeNoah2W000+1+1-1-100-11W0+10+200-1-10-11W0+100-10-100+12W+10-1-100+10002W+10-100-1-20002W-1-1-1-1+10+10+1+11W-1+1+1-100000-13W0-1000+1+10000W000+1+1+1+2-1001W
Owners 10
OwnersManagers · 10/10 shown
League matchup archive · regular-season schedule replay

Jordan's opponents played 17.9 Score+ above their usual level against them in 2026.ⓘ

Each team's Opponent Score+ (dot) = Schedule Strength (grey) + Opponent Luck (colour); 100 is average.

708090100110120130averageJordan121.6Max/Jake104.4Ben104.2Noah104.1Mike99.8Andy99.6Danny95.6Greg/Andrew92.2Grove90.0Howie88.6
Owners 10
OwnersManagers · 10/10 shown
Regular-season results · Opponent Score+, Schedule Strength, Opponent Luck